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Predict Paonia

by Transparent Towns

Think you know what your town government will do next?
Predict it. Prove it. Change it.

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Predict

Bet your points on what the Town will do

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Play

Use accountability tools to influence the outcome

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Prove

Submit evidence when predictions resolve

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Win

Climb the Oracle Board. Earn your tier.

๐ŸŽช Active Predictions

What do you think will happen? Put your points where your mouth is.

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cora

Will the Town respond to a Water CIP CORA request within 3 business days?

YEP ๐ŸŽฏ 25%75% NOPE ๐Ÿ™…
Resolves: April 15, 2026
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๐ŸŒถ๏ธ SPICYpersonnel

Will Stefen Wynn still be Town Administrator on January 1, 2027?

YEP ๐ŸŽฏ 35%65% NOPE ๐Ÿ™…
Resolves: January 1, 2027
โš–๏ธ
๐ŸŒถ๏ธ SPICYgovernance

Will the Town be sued over the Brunner removal?

YEP ๐ŸŽฏ 80%20% NOPE ๐Ÿ™…
Resolves: December 31, 2026
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trees

Will the Tree Board get ANY funding in the FY-2027 budget?

YEP ๐ŸŽฏ 15%85% NOPE ๐Ÿ™…
Resolves: December 31, 2026
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budget

Will Town fund balances drop below $4M by year end?

YEP ๐ŸŽฏ 70%30% NOPE ๐Ÿ™…
Resolves: December 31, 2026
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water

Will the 5th & Grand project start construction by summer 2026?

YEP ๐ŸŽฏ 45%55% NOPE ๐Ÿ™…
Resolves: September 1, 2026
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๐ŸŒถ๏ธ SPICYcora

Will the Town claim attorney-client privilege on Water CIP records?

YEP ๐ŸŽฏ 85%15% NOPE ๐Ÿ™…
Resolves: May 1, 2026
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๐ŸŒถ๏ธ SPICYgovernance

Will a recall petition be filed against any Trustee or the Mayor?

YEP ๐ŸŽฏ 40%60% NOPE ๐Ÿ™…
Resolves: December 31, 2026
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The Oracle Board

The best predictors earn the title Oracle of Paonia. The worst? Town Administrator Material. ๐Ÿ’€

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Seedling
0-99 pts
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Sapling
100-499 pts
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Old Growth
500-999 pts
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Canopy Guardian
1000+ pts
Pick Your Alias & Start Playing

Why This Exists

Paonia's town government operates a $16M budget funded mostly by grants and loans. The Town Administrator was fired from his last job for โ€œflagrant neglect of duty.โ€ An elected trustee was expelled for asking questions. Tree Board volunteers were told they're a burden. The surveillance cameras cost more than the tree budget ($52K vs $0).

We think residents can predict their government's behavior better than the government can explain it.
Prove us right.